Trends in Mobile Traffic by 2016 According to Cisco

Written by on Thursday, February 23rd 2012

An article published on on February 14th, echos a study published by Cisco on the same day: Cisco expects an explosive growth of mobile Internet traffic via moblie devices. In 2016, 10 billion mobile devices are expected to be connected to the net for 7.3 billion people.

In a study on trends in mobile data traffic, Cisco identified 10 main trends. Cisco anticipates a monthly traffic volume of 10.8 exabytes in 2016. There have been 0.6 billion exabytes in 2011, and should be 1.3 billion in 2012. Traffic will be multiplied by 18 between 2011 and 2016; and by 2 between 2011 and 2012. The growth rate of traffic data was higher than expected in 2011. At the end of 2012, the number of mobile devices connected to the Internet exceeded the number of people in the world. In 2016, the ratio between the number of connected mobile devices and world population will be 1.4. Of the 10 trends described by Cisco, three of them particularly characterize the mobile market in our view.

Device Diversification
In 2016, smartphones will continue to weigh heavily on mobile data traffic (48.3%) in addition to netbooks and laptops (24.2%). The characteristic feature of this underlying trend is that tablets will account for 10% of all mobile traffic by 2016 (all traffic that was expected in 2012). Today, tablets already use more bandwidth than 3G smartphones.

Mobile Video
In 2011, video accounted for 52% of the total traffic, and Cisco thinks that it will amount for 70.5% in 2016.

Mobile Network Connection Speeds
Only 6% of connections will be in the 4G network in 2016, but will represent 36% of all mobile traffic.

Mobility is playing an increasingly important role in the lives of consumers, and mobile services will become more and more present both for them and for professionals.

Read Cisco's complete study here.

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